Assumption Audit with AI
List your riskiest assumptions and design fast tests for each one before you build. Stops you from spending 3 months on a feature that depends on something untrue.
Download Skill File ↓What this skill file teaches Claude
Drop one markdown file into your repo. Claude Code learns how to run this entire workflow.
Assumption extraction
Combs through your brief or PRD and surfaces every belief baked into it. Aims for 15-20 assumptions per audit.
Risk scoring
Each assumption scored on likelihood it's wrong (1-5) x severity if wrong (1-5). Tagged as desirability, viability, feasibility, or ethical.
Cheapest test design
For each high-risk assumption, the cheapest experiment that would credibly disprove it. Hierarchy from desk research to fake-door to concierge MVP.
Kill criteria
Specific numeric thresholds ("below 1.5% conversion", "fewer than 3 of 6 interviews") so test results produce decisions, not data.
Test order and decision tree
Sequenced test plan with branching logic — what to do if each test passes, fails, or is ambiguous.
Cost and timeline per test
Days and dollars for every proposed test so you can budget the validation sprint.
What you can build with this
Pre-build risk reduction
Before engineering starts, audit the brief and test the top 3 risks. A week of validation saves a quarter of building.
Pre-mortem for a new product
Imagine the launch failed. What was the false assumption? Audit lists them and tests the ones that matter.
Defend the roadmap to leadership
Walk into the meeting with risks named, scored, and paired with tests. Replaces hope with a validation plan.
Pivot decision support
Current direction isn't working. Audit reveals which assumption broke, which lets you pivot toward a specific new bet instead of flailing.
Get the full skill file
Everything above is 80% of the skill file. Download the complete version with full implementation details, agent prompts, and ready-to-run scripts.
Common questions
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